With 11 games still to go, it always feels a little risky saying this... but, surely, it is just a matter of time now before Liverpool secures the Premier League title.
The Reds could not have planned a more perfect weekend for themselves. Having watched 10-man Arsenal fall to a 1-0 defeat at home to West Ham, Arne Slot’s side made sure they capitalized, winning 2-0 at Manchester City to record a double over Pep Guardiola’s defending champions.
Holding an 11-point lead over the Gunners, it looks as though Liverpool will be taking City’s crown this season. Practically everyone is in agreement - even Gary Neville - so it seems to be a matter of when, not if, the Reds become champions.
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If - and it’s a big if - Arsenal wins all of its remaining games, then Liverpool would need to claim 26 points from its remaining 11 games to secure the title. As we’ve seen from Mikel Arteta’s side this season though, they are unlikely to go on a perfect run to the end of the season, meaning the Reds may not need that many points after all.
One study has found the most likely date Liverpool will win the title is on matchday 36 when, ironically, Arsenal will visit Anfield. But could the big day arrive earlier?
We’ve taken a look at both sides’ remaining fixtures and predicted their outcomes to see when Liverpool will win the Premier League title…
February 26
Not long to wait until the next game, with both Liverpool and Arsenal in action on Wednesday. The Reds undergo a dress rehearsal of the Carabao Cup final against Newcastle, while the Gunners face a tricky trip to Nottingham Forest.
Home advantage could play a big part in both games here. Fresh from the high of Sunday, we're backing Liverpool to win, while another slip could be on the cards for Arsenal with a draw at the City Ground, leaving the top of the table looking like this:
Liverpool - 67pts (10 games to go)
Arsenal - 54pts (11 games to go, max. total of 87pts)
March 8 & 9
Another home game for Liverpool, and against comfortably the worst team in the league. This has to be an absolute banker for the Reds - home win.
As for Arsenal, it should have too much for a very poor United side - the key word there being 'should'. Liverpool though has seen first hand how Ruben Amorim's side can step things up for the bigger games, and with the Gunners struggling in attack, this could be another that ends in a stalemate.
Liverpool - 70pts (9 games to go)
Arsenal - 55pts (10 games to go, max. total of 85pts)
March 16
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Arsenal vs Chelsea
With Liverpool hunting its first trophy under Slot in the Carabao Cup final, this is a rare opportunity for Arsenal to claw back some ground on the Reds. Although we've perhaps been a bit harsh on the Gunners so far, given Chelsea looks to be limping towards the finish line, we'd expect the hosts to pick up a win here, narrowing the gap to 12 points.
Liverpool - 70pts (9 games to go)
Arsenal - 58pts (9 games to go, max. total of 85pts)
April 1 & 2
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Arsenal vs Fulham
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Liverpool vs Everton
Another chance for Arsenal to make up some ground - albeit for just around 24 hours. Fulham has been impressive this season, but the Gunners will hope to have Bukayo Saka back by this point, which could make a big difference, leading them to victory.
Derby day on Merseyside has the potential to throw something of a spanner in the works for Liverpool. Having been just seconds away from claiming victory at Goodison Park though, we're back the Reds to put things right and win at Anfield.
Liverpool - 73pts (8 games to go)
Arsenal - 61pts (8 games to go, max. total of 85pts)
April 5
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Fulham vs Liverpool
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Everton vs Arsenal
Some of these dates are likely to change, but as things stand, Liverpool and Arsenal are scheduled to be playing on the same dates from here on out. A trip to Fulham represents a tricky challenge for the Reds, and we can see it being the first minor slip-up in this run as they are held to a draw.
That might not be the worst point though. A trip to Goodison Park feels like the exact sort of game where Arsenal could come unstuck, and with David Moyes breathing new life into Everton, we're backing the Toffees for the win.
Liverpool - 74pts (7 games to go)
Arsenal - 61pts (7 games to go, max. total of 82pts)
April 12
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Liverpool vs West Ham
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Arsenal vs Brentford
West Ham have been Liverpool's whipping boys recently, having lost 5-1 and 5-0 already to the Reds this season. With Graham Potter now in charge, we're not expecting as big a scoreline this time, although we're also not expecting Liverpool to slip up - home win.
Arsenal meanwhile faces a Brentford side that could pose a few problems. We'll give the hosts the win here, although Liverpool will now be just two wins away from wrapping up the title.
Liverpool - 77pts (6 games to go)
Arsenal - 64pts (6 games to go, max. total of 82pts)
April 19
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Leicester vs Liverpool
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Ipswich vs Arsenal
This is a prediction that could change further down the line. At the moment, with Ruud van Nistelrooy in charge of Leicester, we can only see a Liverpool win here, although if the Foxes change their manager, that could change the dynamic somewhat.
A trip to Ipswich shouldn't hold too much peril for Arsenal. By this stage, their hosts may be well on their way back to the Championship, which might make things slightly easier for the Gunners.
Liverpool - 80pts (5 games to go)
Arsenal - 67pts (5 games to go, max. total of 82pts)
April 26
Will this be the big day for Liverpool? Well, before we get to that, we're backing Arsenal to keep the race going with a win over Palace.
Now to the Reds, and we're sure there are other opponents Arsenal would prefer them to face than their North London rivals. Assuming Ange Postecoglou is still at the helm, he won't allow his side roll over here, although we don't think that will help them much. Home win, and Liverpool is crowned the champion.
Liverpool - 83pts (4 games to go)
Arsenal - 70pts (4 games to go, max. total of 82pts)
That leaves Liverpool with games against Chelsea (A), Arsenal (H), Brighton (A) and Crystal Palace (H), while the Gunners have Bournemouth (H), Liverpool (A), Newcastle (H) and Southampton (A).
Given that run-in, it might come as a relief if Liverpool can get things wrapped up against Tottenham, although we can also see Arsenal still dropping some points in their final few games. For now though, get the champagne in for April 26.
